Why This Contest Matters
If you love betting the NFL, this is the ultimate stage. Circa’s Million VII Contest lets you put your football IQ to the test—five picks against the spread each week, all season long, for a chance at life-changing money. With $6 million guaranteed in prizes and no house rake, it’s designed for players, not the casino.
How It Works
- Buy-In: $1,000 per entry. Each person can enter up to five times.
- The Picks: Every week of the NFL regular season you select five games against the spread (point spreads are locked in when Circa posts them on Thursday morning).
- Scoring:
- Win = 1 point
- Push (tie) = 0.5 points
- Loss = 0 points
- Deadlines: Picks must be in by Saturday 4:00 p.m. PT. If you play the Thursday night game, all five picks must be submitted before kickoff.
- Where to Enter: Sign up in Nevada (Circa, The D, Golden Gate, Tuscany, The Pass, Silverton, Legends Bay). Out of state? Hire a proxy service to submit your picks after you register in person.
- Season Runs: Week 1 through Week 18 of the NFL season.
The Prize Pool
- Total Guaranteed: $6 million.
- Full Season: 1st place takes $1,000,000. Cash payouts extend all the way to 100th place. Last place? Even that gets $100,000. Second-to-last place: $50,000.
- Quarterly Contests: The season is split into four quarters (roughly four to five weeks each). Each quarter pays $150,000 to the leader, with payouts to the top 5. There’s also a $25,000 “Booby Prize” for the lowest score each quarter.
Bottom line: Even if you stumble out of the gate, there’s always another prize to chase.
Why the Smart Players Love It
The real edge here is what pros call “line value.” Circa posts static lines every Thursday morning, which means they don’t move. If the betting market shifts after those lines are posted, you can lock in spreads that are better than what’s currently available in sportsbooks. For example:
- If the contest line has a team at –2.5, but by Saturday the real betting line is –3.5, you’ve gained a full point of advantage.
- Capturing that edge—especially around key numbers like 3 or 7—makes a huge difference over the course of 90 picks in a season.
Think of it like shopping for groceries: everyone else is paying full price at the counter, while you’re buying at last week’s discount.
Strategy: How to Use Multiple Entries
If you enter more than once (up to five), you don’t just duplicate your picks. You can play different strategies across entries. Here’s a clear way to do it:
- Entry A: Line Hunter
Focus on finding spreads that have moved in the broader betting market. This is where you lock in advantages no one else can buy. - Entry B: Contrarian
Fade the herd. If the majority of contestants are likely leaning on the same “obvious” side, you go the other way. In a contest this big, being different can separate you in the standings. - Entry C: Quarter Chaser
Go aggressive in each 4–5 week quarter to chase the $150,000 top prize. A hot month can make your entire season. - Entry D/E: Flexible Plays
Use these for balance. If one entry starts ice-cold in a quarter, flip it and aim for the $25,000 “Booby Prize” (lowest score). It sounds funny, but it’s a very real payday—and some players go for it on purpose once they’re buried.
This way, you’re not just swinging with the same five picks every entry. You’re running a portfolio of strategies, giving yourself multiple paths to win.
What It Takes to Win
History shows it usually takes around 62 points out of 90 (about 69% correct picks) to win the full season million. That’s elite, but not impossible—especially with multiple shots and quarter-by-quarter payouts.
Last year, nearly 6,000 entries chased the prize, and the winner walked away with the seven-figure jackpot. This season, with the guaranteed $6 million, every entry has value—especially if the total field ends up smaller than the guarantee (known as an “overlay,” which means extra value for players).
How to Enter
- Sign up in person at one of Circa’s Nevada properties.
- If you live outside Nevada, hire a proxy at registration to submit picks on your behalf each week.
- Lock in your five picks weekly, track the standings, and chase your share of $6 million.
Full rules and details: Circa Million VII Contest Page
Final Word
This isn’t your average office pool. This is a professional-grade NFL betting contest with a million dollars at the top, real quarterly payouts, and even consolation prizes that make losing pay. Whether you’re a numbers player, a contrarian, or just someone who loves the grind of picking five games a week, Circa Million VII is where legends and lucky runs are made.
If you need a little boost making those weekly selections, try our LuckyPik NFL tool!
Believe in your picks like you believe in the sunrise, steady, certain, and unstoppable. If you can see the win in your mind, you give yourself the best chance to hold it in your hand.
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